NewsMarkets

Politics

New Group Aims To Prosecute Trump-Era Lawlessness And End Impunity

A new civic project led by Kenneth Roth seeks to prosecute officials for undermining the rule of law during Donald Trump's presidency.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 10 Nov 2026 · updated 2d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Before his term ends
0%50%100%19%2 Oct, 00:56 UTCnowThe Guardian US: Trump-era lawlessness must be prosecuted. Our new group is working to end the impunity | Kenneth Roth · 10 Nov, 13:00 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now19%
12 Nov, 13:09 UTC21%
12 Nov, 12:27 UTC23%
12 Nov, 10:13 UTC24%
12 Nov, 07:16 UTC20%
12 Nov, 05:55 UTC22%
12 Nov, 04:42 UTC23%
12 Nov, 03:00 UTC22%
12 Nov, 02:46 UTC20%
11 Nov, 23:18 UTC22%
11 Nov, 22:52 UTC21%
11 Nov, 17:57 UTC22%
11 Nov, 17:22 UTC21%
11 Nov, 16:17 UTC22%
11 Nov, 15:35 UTC23%
11 Nov, 14:43 UTC22%
11 Nov, 14:27 UTC23%
11 Nov, 12:42 UTC22%
11 Nov, 12:22 UTC23%
11 Nov, 11:09 UTC22%
11 Nov, 08:16 UTC23%
11 Nov, 07:49 UTC22%
11 Nov, 04:21 UTC23%
11 Nov, 02:34 UTC24%
10 Nov, 23:28 UTC23%
10 Nov, 21:30 UTC24%
10 Nov, 16:39 UTC22%
10 Nov, 16:04 UTC23%
10 Nov, 15:43 UTC24%
10 Nov, 14:11 UTC23%
10 Nov, 12:40 UTC24%
10 Nov, 06:30 UTC23%
10 Nov, 06:23 UTC22%
10 Nov, 03:08 UTC23%
10 Nov, 02:14 UTC22%
10 Nov, 01:53 UTC23%
10 Nov, 01:06 UTC22%
10 Nov, 00:32 UTC23%
9 Nov, 20:34 UTC22%
9 Nov, 19:07 UTC24%
9 Nov, 18:39 UTC23%
9 Nov, 17:57 UTC24%
9 Nov, 17:01 UTC23%
9 Nov, 14:58 UTC24%
9 Nov, 14:15 UTC22%
9 Nov, 07:29 UTC24%
9 Nov, 04:56 UTC22%
9 Nov, 04:02 UTC23%
9 Nov, 03:28 UTC24%
9 Nov, 02:00 UTC22%
9 Nov, 01:53 UTC23%
9 Nov, 00:36 UTC24%
9 Nov, 00:09 UTC22%
8 Nov, 23:57 UTC24%
8 Nov, 22:46 UTC22%
8 Nov, 21:29 UTC24%
8 Nov, 20:37 UTC24%
8 Nov, 20:16 UTC22%
8 Nov, 19:23 UTC24%
8 Nov, 18:56 UTC22%
8 Nov, 17:15 UTC24%
8 Nov, 16:21 UTC24%
8 Nov, 15:34 UTC22%
8 Nov, 15:28 UTC23%
8 Nov, 13:45 UTC24%
8 Nov, 12:20 UTC22%
8 Nov, 09:46 UTC23%
8 Nov, 08:45 UTC24%
8 Nov, 06:47 UTC23%
8 Nov, 05:18 UTC21%
8 Nov, 04:50 UTC22%
8 Nov, 02:35 UTC24%
8 Nov, 02:00 UTC22%
8 Nov, 01:19 UTC23%
8 Nov, 00:52 UTC24%
8 Nov, 00:14 UTC22%
7 Nov, 23:15 UTC24%
7 Nov, 22:02 UTC23%
7 Nov, 21:15 UTC21%
7 Nov, 20:21 UTC23%
7 Nov, 19:19 UTC23%
7 Nov, 18:59 UTC21%
7 Nov, 17:51 UTC22%
7 Nov, 17:23 UTC21%
7 Nov, 16:00 UTC23%
7 Nov, 13:12 UTC22%
7 Nov, 12:24 UTC23%
7 Nov, 09:17 UTC22%
7 Nov, 06:12 UTC24%
7 Nov, 05:37 UTC23%
7 Nov, 05:09 UTC22%
7 Nov, 04:12 UTC21%
7 Nov, 03:52 UTC23%
7 Nov, 02:24 UTC25%
7 Nov, 00:37 UTC24%
7 Nov, 00:09 UTC23%
6 Nov, 23:47 UTC25%
6 Nov, 23:19 UTC24%
6 Nov, 22:57 UTC23%
6 Nov, 22:06 UTC24%
6 Nov, 21:45 UTC23%
6 Nov, 21:23 UTC24%
6 Nov, 20:31 UTC25%
6 Nov, 20:09 UTC24%
6 Nov, 19:47 UTC22%
6 Nov, 19:25 UTC24%
6 Nov, 18:56 UTC24%
6 Nov, 18:19 UTC25%
6 Nov, 17:50 UTC24%
6 Nov, 16:57 UTC25%
6 Nov, 15:51 UTC26%
6 Nov, 15:29 UTC25%
6 Nov, 14:56 UTC24%
6 Nov, 13:05 UTC22%
6 Nov, 11:29 UTC24%
6 Nov, 10:49 UTC23%
6 Nov, 08:41 UTC24%
6 Nov, 08:27 UTC24%
6 Nov, 07:03 UTC22%
6 Nov, 05:46 UTC23%
6 Nov, 05:18 UTC24%
6 Nov, 04:41 UTC24%
6 Nov, 03:58 UTC23%
6 Nov, 03:23 UTC23%
6 Nov, 02:44 UTC24%
6 Nov, 02:07 UTC25%
6 Nov, 01:45 UTC23%
6 Nov, 01:24 UTC25%
6 Nov, 00:55 UTC23%
6 Nov, 00:27 UTC24%
5 Nov, 23:58 UTC24%
5 Nov, 23:29 UTC23%
5 Nov, 22:54 UTC23%
5 Nov, 21:56 UTC22%
5 Nov, 21:11 UTC20%
5 Nov, 20:49 UTC24%
5 Nov, 20:27 UTC22%
5 Nov, 19:57 UTC25%
5 Nov, 19:29 UTC23%
5 Nov, 18:43 UTC24%
5 Nov, 17:42 UTC24%
5 Nov, 17:28 UTC22%
5 Nov, 16:51 UTC23%
5 Nov, 16:21 UTC25%
5 Nov, 15:25 UTC23%
5 Nov, 14:56 UTC24%
5 Nov, 14:08 UTC25%
5 Nov, 13:52 UTC24%
5 Nov, 13:07 UTC23%
5 Nov, 12:52 UTC22%
5 Nov, 12:29 UTC24%
5 Nov, 11:56 UTC24%
5 Nov, 11:11 UTC25%
5 Nov, 07:59 UTC25%
5 Nov, 07:24 UTC26%
5 Nov, 06:55 UTC25%
5 Nov, 06:26 UTC25%
5 Nov, 05:57 UTC25%
5 Nov, 05:23 UTC25%
5 Nov, 04:47 UTC26%
5 Nov, 04:26 UTC26%
5 Nov, 03:58 UTC26%
5 Nov, 03:23 UTC24%
5 Nov, 02:54 UTC25%
5 Nov, 02:03 UTC24%
5 Nov, 01:56 UTC24%
5 Nov, 01:28 UTC23%
5 Nov, 00:59 UTC24%
4 Nov, 23:32 UTC25%
4 Nov, 23:25 UTC25%
4 Nov, 22:35 UTC24%
4 Nov, 22:27 UTC27%
4 Nov, 21:58 UTC25%
4 Nov, 21:26 UTC25%
4 Nov, 20:52 UTC24%
4 Nov, 20:06 UTC26%
4 Nov, 19:57 UTC25%
4 Nov, 19:19 UTC25%
4 Nov, 18:57 UTC24%
4 Nov, 18:04 UTC27%
4 Nov, 17:56 UTC25%
4 Nov, 17:20 UTC24%
4 Nov, 16:49 UTC25%
4 Nov, 16:27 UTC26%
4 Nov, 15:58 UTC27%
4 Nov, 15:28 UTC27%
4 Nov, 14:59 UTC26%
4 Nov, 14:16 UTC26%
4 Nov, 13:53 UTC25%
4 Nov, 13:24 UTC28%
4 Nov, 12:47 UTC27%
4 Nov, 12:24 UTC26%
4 Nov, 11:54 UTC26%
4 Nov, 10:21 UTC28%
4 Nov, 09:57 UTC28%
4 Nov, 09:14 UTC29%
4 Nov, 08:45 UTC28%
4 Nov, 08:24 UTC24%
4 Nov, 07:56 UTC25%
4 Nov, 07:27 UTC27%
4 Nov, 06:57 UTC28%
4 Nov, 06:28 UTC31%
4 Nov, 05:53 UTC26%
4 Nov, 05:17 UTC31%
4 Nov, 04:54 UTC29%
4 Nov, 04:25 UTC25%
4 Nov, 03:55 UTC27%
4 Nov, 03:26 UTC26%
4 Nov, 02:56 UTC26%
4 Nov, 02:26 UTC29%
4 Nov, 01:57 UTC25%
4 Nov, 01:20 UTC24%
4 Nov, 00:29 UTC23%
3 Nov, 23:53 UTC23%
3 Nov, 23:24 UTC23%
3 Nov, 22:56 UTC23%
3 Nov, 22:19 UTC22%
3 Nov, 21:34 UTC23%
3 Nov, 21:26 UTC23%
3 Nov, 20:49 UTC21%
3 Nov, 20:27 UTC24%
3 Nov, 19:50 UTC23%
3 Nov, 19:29 UTC24%
3 Nov, 18:59 UTC24%
3 Nov, 17:33 UTC24%
3 Nov, 17:03 UTC22%
3 Nov, 16:40 UTC24%
3 Nov, 16:26 UTC23%
3 Nov, 15:43 UTC23%
3 Nov, 15:29 UTC22%
3 Nov, 14:53 UTC22%
3 Nov, 14:03 UTC23%
3 Nov, 13:55 UTC20%
3 Nov, 13:18 UTC22%
3 Nov, 12:36 UTC21%
3 Nov, 12:28 UTC23%
3 Nov, 11:20 UTC22%
3 Nov, 10:59 UTC23%
3 Nov, 10:09 UTC25%
3 Nov, 09:27 UTC24%
3 Nov, 07:48 UTC23%
3 Nov, 07:20 UTC23%
3 Nov, 06:44 UTC24%
3 Nov, 06:01 UTC24%
3 Nov, 05:32 UTC19%
3 Nov, 05:04 UTC24%
3 Nov, 04:01 UTC22%
3 Nov, 03:54 UTC22%
3 Nov, 03:12 UTC23%
3 Nov, 02:44 UTC21%
3 Nov, 02:23 UTC22%
3 Nov, 01:46 UTC23%
3 Nov, 01:02 UTC24%
3 Nov, 00:19 UTC24%
2 Nov, 23:30 UTC22%
2 Nov, 22:39 UTC21%
2 Nov, 21:41 UTC22%
2 Nov, 21:19 UTC21%
2 Nov, 20:37 UTC22%
2 Nov, 19:54 UTC21%
2 Nov, 19:18 UTC21%
2 Nov, 17:04 UTC20%
2 Nov, 14:19 UTC19%
2 Nov, 13:56 UTC19%
2 Nov, 11:04 UTC19%
2 Nov, 04:33 UTC20%
2 Nov, 03:06 UTC18%
1 Nov, 23:43 UTC20%
1 Nov, 23:07 UTC17%
1 Nov, 22:46 UTC18%
1 Nov, 22:10 UTC19%
1 Nov, 21:26 UTC18%
1 Nov, 20:36 UTC19%
1 Nov, 19:30 UTC18%
1 Nov, 19:09 UTC17%
1 Nov, 17:42 UTC18%
1 Nov, 17:20 UTC18%
1 Nov, 16:44 UTC19%
1 Nov, 16:22 UTC17%
1 Nov, 15:46 UTC18%
1 Nov, 14:45 UTC17%
1 Nov, 13:09 UTC18%
1 Nov, 12:16 UTC19%
1 Nov, 11:40 UTC19%
1 Nov, 11:19 UTC19%
1 Nov, 09:22 UTC19%
1 Nov, 07:18 UTC18%
1 Nov, 05:33 UTC17%
1 Nov, 05:25 UTC20%
1 Nov, 04:50 UTC19%
1 Nov, 04:01 UTC18%
1 Nov, 03:33 UTC19%
1 Nov, 03:04 UTC20%
1 Nov, 02:36 UTC19%
1 Nov, 02:22 UTC20%
1 Nov, 01:31 UTC22%
1 Nov, 01:24 UTC21%
1 Nov, 00:56 UTC17%
1 Nov, 00:00 UTC18%
31 Oct, 23:46 UTC20%
31 Oct, 23:11 UTC19%
31 Oct, 22:57 UTC19%
31 Oct, 22:28 UTC21%
31 Oct, 21:46 UTC19%
31 Oct, 21:24 UTC20%
31 Oct, 20:57 UTC21%
31 Oct, 20:14 UTC20%
31 Oct, 19:17 UTC20%
31 Oct, 18:48 UTC18%
31 Oct, 18:27 UTC18%
31 Oct, 17:49 UTC19%
31 Oct, 17:06 UTC17%
31 Oct, 16:58 UTC19%
31 Oct, 15:44 UTC18%
31 Oct, 14:24 UTC19%
31 Oct, 13:31 UTC19%
31 Oct, 12:54 UTC18%
31 Oct, 11:42 UTC17%
31 Oct, 09:16 UTC18%
31 Oct, 05:54 UTC17%
31 Oct, 05:26 UTC21%
31 Oct, 04:57 UTC21%
31 Oct, 04:07 UTC23%
31 Oct, 03:52 UTC22%
31 Oct, 02:26 UTC20%
31 Oct, 01:18 UTC23%
31 Oct, 00:10 UTC21%
30 Oct, 23:55 UTC21%
30 Oct, 23:23 UTC23%
30 Oct, 22:54 UTC19%
30 Oct, 21:38 UTC23%
30 Oct, 20:37 UTC21%
30 Oct, 18:58 UTC20%
30 Oct, 16:10 UTC21%
30 Oct, 15:35 UTC22%
30 Oct, 14:23 UTC19%
30 Oct, 08:22 UTC22%
30 Oct, 07:28 UTC19%
30 Oct, 05:21 UTC21%
30 Oct, 03:16 UTC22%
29 Oct, 22:57 UTC20%
29 Oct, 22:24 UTC21%
29 Oct, 19:15 UTC22%
29 Oct, 16:42 UTC20%
29 Oct, 15:38 UTC18%
29 Oct, 14:55 UTC19%
29 Oct, 14:07 UTC20%
29 Oct, 10:04 UTC19%
29 Oct, 02:06 UTC20%
29 Oct, 00:00 UTC19%
28 Oct, 21:30 UTC20%
28 Oct, 20:52 UTC19%
28 Oct, 19:26 UTC20%
28 Oct, 18:22 UTC18%
28 Oct, 16:02 UTC19%
28 Oct, 15:47 UTC17%
28 Oct, 14:35 UTC18%
28 Oct, 13:49 UTC16%
28 Oct, 08:36 UTC19%
28 Oct, 07:36 UTC18%
28 Oct, 04:17 UTC19%
27 Oct, 23:45 UTC18%
27 Oct, 22:23 UTC17%
27 Oct, 21:47 UTC18%
27 Oct, 21:19 UTC19%
27 Oct, 18:56 UTC17%
27 Oct, 17:50 UTC18%
27 Oct, 16:22 UTC20%
27 Oct, 15:35 UTC19%
27 Oct, 10:27 UTC19%
27 Oct, 03:52 UTC19%
27 Oct, 02:42 UTC20%
27 Oct, 02:09 UTC19%
27 Oct, 00:38 UTC20%
27 Oct, 00:24 UTC19%
26 Oct, 23:38 UTC19%
26 Oct, 22:15 UTC19%
26 Oct, 20:12 UTC18%
26 Oct, 19:15 UTC20%
26 Oct, 18:11 UTC18%
26 Oct, 17:28 UTC20%
26 Oct, 16:51 UTC19%
26 Oct, 15:17 UTC20%
26 Oct, 12:10 UTC17%
26 Oct, 10:00 UTC19%
26 Oct, 07:44 UTC18%
26 Oct, 06:06 UTC19%
26 Oct, 05:53 UTC18%
26 Oct, 03:50 UTC20%
26 Oct, 03:27 UTC17%
26 Oct, 02:13 UTC19%
26 Oct, 01:52 UTC18%
25 Oct, 22:45 UTC19%
25 Oct, 22:06 UTC17%
25 Oct, 19:46 UTC20%
25 Oct, 18:50 UTC18%
25 Oct, 17:56 UTC20%
25 Oct, 16:35 UTC18%
25 Oct, 16:21 UTC19%
25 Oct, 15:10 UTC19%
25 Oct, 13:49 UTC18%
25 Oct, 12:56 UTC18%
25 Oct, 11:35 UTC19%
25 Oct, 11:28 UTC18%
25 Oct, 09:00 UTC20%
25 Oct, 07:11 UTC16%
25 Oct, 06:41 UTC19%
25 Oct, 06:12 UTC15%
25 Oct, 05:57 UTC18%
25 Oct, 04:49 UTC18%
25 Oct, 03:38 UTC15%
25 Oct, 03:16 UTC18%
25 Oct, 02:56 UTC18%
25 Oct, 02:21 UTC17%
24 Oct, 23:48 UTC19%
24 Oct, 23:19 UTC19%
24 Oct, 22:19 UTC17%
24 Oct, 21:58 UTC19%
24 Oct, 21:19 UTC18%
24 Oct, 20:44 UTC17%
24 Oct, 20:23 UTC20%
24 Oct, 19:30 UTC16%
24 Oct, 18:08 UTC18%
24 Oct, 17:29 UTC18%
24 Oct, 16:40 UTC16%
24 Oct, 16:15 UTC17%
24 Oct, 15:41 UTC19%
24 Oct, 14:54 UTC18%
24 Oct, 14:20 UTC17%
24 Oct, 13:52 UTC19%
24 Oct, 13:07 UTC16%
24 Oct, 09:15 UTC20%
24 Oct, 07:27 UTC19%
24 Oct, 01:25 UTC19%
23 Oct, 23:57 UTC19%
23 Oct, 22:21 UTC19%
23 Oct, 21:34 UTC18%
23 Oct, 21:27 UTC19%
23 Oct, 20:42 UTC20%
23 Oct, 20:12 UTC21%
23 Oct, 18:40 UTC19%
23 Oct, 18:14 UTC20%
23 Oct, 17:46 UTC21%
23 Oct, 17:24 UTC20%
23 Oct, 16:07 UTC19%
23 Oct, 15:49 UTC20%
23 Oct, 15:06 UTC19%
23 Oct, 14:51 UTC20%
23 Oct, 14:01 UTC19%
23 Oct, 12:29 UTC18%
23 Oct, 11:06 UTC19%
23 Oct, 08:00 UTC21%
23 Oct, 07:54 UTC19%
23 Oct, 06:39 UTC18%
23 Oct, 05:18 UTC21%
23 Oct, 04:17 UTC20%
23 Oct, 03:41 UTC19%
23 Oct, 02:33 UTC16%
22 Oct, 23:20 UTC20%
22 Oct, 22:32 UTC20%
22 Oct, 22:04 UTC22%
22 Oct, 21:02 UTC20%
22 Oct, 20:55 UTC19%
22 Oct, 20:20 UTC20%
22 Oct, 18:05 UTC22%
22 Oct, 17:45 UTC20%
22 Oct, 16:54 UTC21%
22 Oct, 15:57 UTC22%
22 Oct, 15:28 UTC21%
22 Oct, 14:17 UTC20%
22 Oct, 12:00 UTC21%
22 Oct, 10:39 UTC18%
22 Oct, 09:33 UTC20%
22 Oct, 07:00 UTC21%
22 Oct, 06:39 UTC22%
22 Oct, 05:18 UTC20%
22 Oct, 04:27 UTC22%
22 Oct, 02:54 UTC19%
22 Oct, 02:26 UTC21%
22 Oct, 01:29 UTC20%
22 Oct, 00:38 UTC22%
22 Oct, 00:17 UTC21%
21 Oct, 23:28 UTC20%
21 Oct, 22:53 UTC19%
21 Oct, 22:24 UTC22%
21 Oct, 21:48 UTC21%
21 Oct, 21:12 UTC20%
21 Oct, 20:49 UTC18%
21 Oct, 19:10 UTC21%
21 Oct, 18:41 UTC18%
21 Oct, 16:58 UTC21%
21 Oct, 14:05 UTC18%
21 Oct, 13:19 UTC20%
21 Oct, 06:51 UTC18%
21 Oct, 05:48 UTC19%
21 Oct, 04:12 UTC22%
21 Oct, 03:57 UTC20%
21 Oct, 03:09 UTC22%
21 Oct, 02:55 UTC20%
21 Oct, 02:27 UTC20%
21 Oct, 01:45 UTC21%
21 Oct, 00:56 UTC19%
21 Oct, 00:22 UTC21%
20 Oct, 23:42 UTC21%
20 Oct, 22:59 UTC21%
20 Oct, 20:24 UTC19%
20 Oct, 19:55 UTC19%
20 Oct, 18:45 UTC20%
20 Oct, 18:24 UTC21%
20 Oct, 15:09 UTC18%
20 Oct, 14:10 UTC21%
20 Oct, 13:53 UTC18%
20 Oct, 13:20 UTC20%
20 Oct, 11:55 UTC18%
20 Oct, 11:03 UTC19%
20 Oct, 07:09 UTC21%
19 Oct, 02:08 UTC18%
19 Oct, 00:11 UTC17%
18 Oct, 23:22 UTC18%
18 Oct, 22:56 UTC19%
18 Oct, 22:14 UTC17%
18 Oct, 21:34 UTC19%
18 Oct, 20:59 UTC19%
18 Oct, 17:31 UTC18%
18 Oct, 17:03 UTC19%
18 Oct, 16:45 UTC18%
18 Oct, 14:55 UTC19%
18 Oct, 11:12 UTC18%
18 Oct, 03:36 UTC19%
18 Oct, 03:23 UTC18%
18 Oct, 01:35 UTC19%
18 Oct, 01:23 UTC18%
17 Oct, 23:10 UTC16%
17 Oct, 21:45 UTC15%
17 Oct, 20:18 UTC18%
17 Oct, 19:44 UTC17%
17 Oct, 18:29 UTC19%
17 Oct, 17:28 UTC17%
17 Oct, 16:31 UTC20%
17 Oct, 15:29 UTC18%
17 Oct, 14:11 UTC20%
17 Oct, 13:41 UTC18%
17 Oct, 12:20 UTC20%
17 Oct, 10:47 UTC17%
17 Oct, 00:10 UTC19%
16 Oct, 23:50 UTC20%
16 Oct, 22:23 UTC16%
16 Oct, 21:49 UTC17%
16 Oct, 21:09 UTC19%
16 Oct, 19:27 UTC20%
16 Oct, 18:38 UTC17%
16 Oct, 18:03 UTC19%
16 Oct, 17:55 UTC16%
16 Oct, 15:38 UTC19%
16 Oct, 11:44 UTC16%
16 Oct, 03:09 UTC17%
16 Oct, 01:42 UTC19%
15 Oct, 22:15 UTC20%
15 Oct, 20:45 UTC16%
15 Oct, 18:27 UTC17%
15 Oct, 17:46 UTC16%
15 Oct, 17:25 UTC18%
15 Oct, 16:56 UTC17%
15 Oct, 15:45 UTC18%
15 Oct, 14:35 UTC20%
15 Oct, 14:27 UTC16%
15 Oct, 12:30 UTC20%
15 Oct, 12:01 UTC16%
15 Oct, 06:46 UTC17%
15 Oct, 03:03 UTC18%
15 Oct, 00:02 UTC17%
14 Oct, 23:48 UTC16%
14 Oct, 22:31 UTC17%
14 Oct, 21:34 UTC20%
14 Oct, 18:41 UTC17%
14 Oct, 13:26 UTC16%
14 Oct, 11:10 UTC20%
14 Oct, 10:57 UTC19%
14 Oct, 04:34 UTC20%
14 Oct, 02:01 UTC17%
14 Oct, 01:55 UTC20%
13 Oct, 23:53 UTC17%
8 Oct, 05:45 UTC19%
8 Oct, 01:22 UTC18%
7 Oct, 23:04 UTC19%
7 Oct, 21:58 UTC19%
3 Oct, 02:33 UTC18%
3 Oct, 01:14 UTC15%
2 Oct, 00:56 UTC18%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 10 Nov 2026. The Guardian US published first, on 10 November at 13:00 UTC.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Before his term ends — the market puts it at 19%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if the U.S. President is impeached by the House of Representatives and convicted by the Senate before January 20, 2029. The outcome is No if this does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about firing aides for the actual impeachment process.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Trump-era lawlessness must be prosecuted. Our new group is working to end the impunity | Kenneth Roth The Guardian US ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Before his term ends 19% −4 $5k 24hends 20 Jan 2029

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Alert me when the odds move

Email: we send a link to confirm first, and you can unsubscribe in one click. Browser notifications need no email and are turned off on the Following page. At most one alert every six hours either way. Privacy

In this story

Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.