Netanyahu Denies UAE Warned Him Of October 7 Attack
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rejects a Haaretz report claiming the UAE warned him of Hamas plans, calling it malicious libel.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, 2h 55m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
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The odds
All 8 sources published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 33% |
| 30 Sept, 23:06 UTC | 33% |
| 30 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Sept, 20:16 UTC | 33% |
| 30 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 33% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 35% |
| 30 Sept, 11:03 UTC | 33% |
| 30 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 32% |
| 30 Sept, 09:44 UTC | 33% |
| 30 Sept, 06:13 UTC | 30% |
| 30 Sept, 05:31 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Sept, 05:24 UTC | 30% |
| 29 Sept, 20:42 UTC | 31% |
| 29 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 35% |
| 29 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 34% |
| 28 Sept, 13:20 UTC | 29% |
| 27 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 28% |
| 23 Sept, 11:51 UTC | 30% |
| 21 Sept, 14:07 UTC | 28% |
| 20 Sept, 14:41 UTC | 30% |
| 20 Sept, 10:56 UTC | 28% |
| 20 Sept, 06:17 UTC | 28% |
| 20 Sept, 03:07 UTC | 28% |
| 20 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 28% |
| 20 Sept, 01:11 UTC | 28% |
| 19 Sept, 23:19 UTC | 28% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 28% |
| 16 Sept, 18:18 UTC | 31% |
| 16 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 30% |
| 15 Sept, 18:46 UTC | 30% |
| 15 Sept, 18:03 UTC | 28% |
| 15 Sept, 08:23 UTC | 29% |
| 15 Sept, 07:21 UTC | 29% |
| 15 Sept, 01:28 UTC | 29% |
| 14 Sept, 19:10 UTC | 28% |
| 14 Sept, 06:20 UTC | 30% |
| 13 Sept, 11:20 UTC | 28% |
| 13 Sept, 10:50 UTC | 29% |
| 13 Sept, 09:37 UTC | 28% |
| 13 Sept, 09:06 UTC | 29% |
| 12 Sept, 23:42 UTC | 28% |
| 12 Sept, 23:15 UTC | 29% |
| 12 Sept, 22:32 UTC | 29% |
| 12 Sept, 22:26 UTC | 28% |
| 12 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 29% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 28% |
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 8 articles since 8 Sept 2026. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines published first, on 8 September at 18:31 UTC; The New York Times followed 2h 56m later. The most recent article, from France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, appeared on 10 September at 10:19 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The New York Times (major outlet), CBS News (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, Deutsche Welle.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — the market puts it at 33%, with $195k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 28 Oct 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if Benjamin Netanyahu is formally sworn in as Prime Minister after an election. The No outcome applies if someone else takes that oath or if no new Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027. Readers often mistake the date of a political tour or appointment for the official swearing-in ceremony.
- Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? — resolved “No” on 1 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if Benjamin Netanyahu makes a definitive announcement that he will not run for reelection by September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The outcome is No if he does not make such an announcement by that deadline. Readers often mistake non-definitive statements or suggestions of consideration for a final decision.
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? — the market puts it at 36%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published.
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesNetanyahu under fire over report UAE warned of October 7 attack
- The New York TimesBefore Oct. 7 Attack, Netanyahu Was Warned, Report Says. He Denies It.
- Deutsche WelleIsrael's Netanyahu denies UAE warned him of October 7 attack
- CBS NewsNetanyahu calls claim he was warned of Oct. 7 attack "malicious libel"
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraNetanyahu to sue Haaretz over claims UAE warned him before October 7 attack
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesNetanyahu visits troops in occupied Syria as Damascus slams 'blatant violation' of sovereignty
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraBenjamin Netanyahu has overseen a genocide: In his telling, he’s a victim
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines'Provocative and blatant violation': Syria condemns Netanyahu's entry into its territory
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Benjamin Netanyahu has overseen a genocide: In his telling, he’s a victim Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Netanyahu to sue Haaretz over claims UAE warned him before October 7 attack Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Netanyahu calls claim he was warned of Oct. 7 attack "malicious libel" CBS News ·
- Before Oct. 7 Attack, Netanyahu Was Warned, Report Says. He Denies It. The New York Times ·
- 'Provocative and blatant violation': Syria condemns Netanyahu's entry into its territory France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Netanyahu visits troops in occupied Syria as Damascus slams 'blatant violation' of sovereignty France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Israel's Netanyahu denies UAE warned him of October 7 attack Deutsche Welle
- Netanyahu under fire over report UAE warned of October 7 attack France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? 33% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? No 23d ago
The market favoured No at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? 36% +6
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Netanyahu
- Haaretz
- UAE
- Hamas
- Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan