Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$60k
Total volume$174k
Liquidity$61k
Resolves27 Oct 2026
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Benjamin Netanyahu makes a definitive announcement that he will not run for reelection by September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The outcome is No if he does not make such an announcement by that deadline. Readers often mistake non-definitive statements or suggestions of consideration for a final decision.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%