Musk Renames SpaceX AI Unit to SpaceXSI Following Trump Order
Elon Musk is renaming the company's artificial intelligence division to SpaceXSI, adopting President Donald Trump's preferred term for the technology.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 19:36 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 13:03 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 11% |
| 30 Sept, 21:16 UTC | 9% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Mars respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 4 Oct 2026. theinformation.com published first, on 4 October at 16:47 UTC; Quartz followed 18h 43m later. The most recent article, from Quartz, appeared on 5 October at 11:30 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: theinformation.com, Quartz.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Mars — the market puts it at 11%, with $5 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Aug 2099. The market resolves to Yes if Elon Musk travels to Mars before he dies or before August 1, 2099, whichever comes first. It resolves to No if that event does not happen within those limits. Readers often mistake the deadline for a fixed date rather than the earlier of his death or the specified year.
- Elon Musk — the market puts it at 8%, with $111 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Elon Musk holds the title of CEO for X before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not hold that title by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about pricing changes as a confirmation of his employment status.
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — the market puts it at 0%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The Yes outcome occurs if Elon Musk wins the 2028 US Presidential Election as determined by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC calling the race for him. The No outcome applies if he does not win according to those sources or if another candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029. Readers often mistake the deadline for when the news outlets call the race rather than the inauguration date.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Mars at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Mars 11%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Elon Musk 8% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Elon Musk
- SpaceX
- Donald Trump