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McIlroy Closes In on BMW PGA Lead After Final-Hole Eagle

Rory McIlroy moves within two strokes of leaders Manuel Elvira and Filippo Celli heading into the final round at Wentworth.

5 publishers · 24 articles · first seen 14 Sept 2026 · updated 41d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Will Adam Scott win the 2026 BMW PGA Championship?
0%50%100%0%19 Sept, 12:53 UTCnowwww.espn.com: McIlroy jumps into BMW Open contention after strong finish · 19 Sept, 17:42 UTCThe Guardian Sport: Rory McIlroy gives himself a chance to repeat history at PGA Championship · 19 Sept, 16:38 UTCSkySports: McIlroy closes on Reed after BMW PGA near-miss | 'I had my chances!' · 20 Sept, 18:38 UTCSkySports: Spaun wins BMW PGA Championship, McIlroy falters despite late surge · 20 Sept, 16:36 UTCSkySports: Lacroix fires amazing ace as McIlroy chases shock leaders at BMW PGA LIVE! · 20 Sept, 10:37 UTCBBC Sport: Eagle leaves McIlroy two off Wentworth lead · 19 Sept, 17:58 UTCBBC Sport: 'Look at this!' - McIlroy in contention after eagle on 18th · 19 Sept, 17:44 UTCSkySports: McIlroy two off pace entering final day of BMW PGA Championship · 19 Sept, 17:13 UTCCBS Sports Headlines: 2026 BMW PGA Championship leaderboard: Rory McIlroy's late eagle puts him in contention after Round 3 · 19 Sept, 16:41 UTCSkySports: McIlroy two off pace as Manuel Elvira and Celli share Wentworth lead · 19 Sept, 16:30 UTCSkySports: 'He's making his presence felt!' - McIlroy makes incredible final-hole eagle! · 19 Sept, 15:42 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 13 more published before price tracking began

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
20 Sept, 18:52 UTC0%
20 Sept, 16:29 UTC0%
20 Sept, 15:55 UTC1%
20 Sept, 15:28 UTC3%
20 Sept, 14:49 UTC3%
20 Sept, 14:24 UTC3%
20 Sept, 13:43 UTC1%
20 Sept, 13:24 UTC2%
20 Sept, 12:57 UTC2%
19 Sept, 12:53 UTC11%

The story so far

5 publishers have covered this in 24 articles since 14 Sept 2026. SkySports published first, on 14 September at 14:31 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 47h 48m later. The most recent article, from SkySports, appeared on 20 September at 18:38 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), www.espn.com (major outlet), SkySports, CBS Sports Headlines, BBC Sport.

One prediction market prices this story:

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Adam Scott win the 2026 BMW PGA Championship? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. SkySportsBMW PGA Championship: Field, format and prize money as McIlroy returns—
  2. SkySportsBMW PGA Pro-Am under way! Which celebs are playing in Wentworth event?—
  3. CBS Sports Headlines2026 BMW PGA Championship predictions, odds: Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm headline DP World Tour flagship event—
  4. CBS Sports Headlines2026 BMW PGA Championship TV schedule, coverage: Where to watch Europe's top stars battle it out in England—
  5. SkySportsBale headlines BMW PGA Championship Pro-Am, as McIlroy shoots low score—
  6. SkySports'It's an absolute beauty' - Rory makes promising start at BMW PGA Championship—
  7. SkySportsRory's up-and-down day at Wentworth | Story of his first round—
  8. The Guardian SportAaron Rai shrugs off early nerves to outshine playing partner Rory McIlroy—
  9. CBS Sports Headlines2026 BMW PGA Championship leaderboard, scores: Patrick Reed, Rory McIlroy battle for Race to Dubai in Round 1—
  10. SkySportsRai shares BMW PGA Championship lead with McIlroy three back—
  11. Show 14 later sources
    1. BBC SportMcIlroy falters as Rai shares lead at Wentworth—
    2. BBC SportMcIlroy in mix heading into weekend at Wentworth—
    3. SkySportsMcIlroy chases Gerard at BMW PGA Championship LIVE!—
    4. SkySports'He's making his presence felt!' - McIlroy makes incredible final-hole eagle!11%
    5. SkySportsMcIlroy two off pace as Manuel Elvira and Celli share Wentworth lead11%
    6. The Guardian SportRory McIlroy gives himself a chance to repeat history at PGA Championship11%
    7. CBS Sports Headlines2026 BMW PGA Championship leaderboard: Rory McIlroy's late eagle puts him in contention after Round 311%
    8. SkySportsMcIlroy two off pace entering final day of BMW PGA Championship11%
    9. www.espn.comMcIlroy jumps into BMW Open contention after strong finish11%
    10. BBC Sport'Look at this!' - McIlroy in contention after eagle on 18th11%
    11. BBC SportEagle leaves McIlroy two off Wentworth lead11%
    12. SkySportsLacroix fires amazing ace as McIlroy chases shock leaders at BMW PGA LIVE!11%
    13. SkySportsSpaun wins BMW PGA Championship, McIlroy falters despite late surge0%▼11 points since the previous source
    14. SkySportsMcIlroy closes on Reed after BMW PGA near-miss | 'I had my chances!'0%
  12. Market resolved: No

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. McIlroy jumps into BMW Open contention after strong finish www.espn.com ·
  2. Rory McIlroy gives himself a chance to repeat history at PGA Championship The Guardian Sport ·
  3. Aaron Rai shrugs off early nerves to outshine playing partner Rory McIlroy The Guardian Sport ·
  4. McIlroy closes on Reed after BMW PGA near-miss | 'I had my chances!' SkySports
  5. Spaun wins BMW PGA Championship, McIlroy falters despite late surge SkySports
  6. Lacroix fires amazing ace as McIlroy chases shock leaders at BMW PGA LIVE! SkySports
Show 18 more sources
  1. Eagle leaves McIlroy two off Wentworth lead BBC Sport
  2. 'Look at this!' - McIlroy in contention after eagle on 18th BBC Sport
  3. McIlroy two off pace entering final day of BMW PGA Championship SkySports
  4. 2026 BMW PGA Championship leaderboard: Rory McIlroy's late eagle puts him in contention after Round 3 CBS Sports Headlines
  5. McIlroy two off pace as Manuel Elvira and Celli share Wentworth lead SkySports
  6. 'He's making his presence felt!' - McIlroy makes incredible final-hole eagle! SkySports
  7. McIlroy chases Gerard at BMW PGA Championship LIVE! SkySports
  8. McIlroy in mix heading into weekend at Wentworth BBC Sport
  9. McIlroy falters as Rai shares lead at Wentworth BBC Sport
  10. Rai shares BMW PGA Championship lead with McIlroy three back SkySports
  11. 2026 BMW PGA Championship leaderboard, scores: Patrick Reed, Rory McIlroy battle for Race to Dubai in Round 1 CBS Sports Headlines
  12. Rory's up-and-down day at Wentworth | Story of his first round SkySports
  13. 'It's an absolute beauty' - Rory makes promising start at BMW PGA Championship SkySports
  14. Bale headlines BMW PGA Championship Pro-Am, as McIlroy shoots low score SkySports
  15. 2026 BMW PGA Championship TV schedule, coverage: Where to watch Europe's top stars battle it out in England CBS Sports Headlines
  16. 2026 BMW PGA Championship predictions, odds: Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm headline DP World Tour flagship event CBS Sports Headlines
  17. BMW PGA Pro-Am under way! Which celebs are playing in Wentworth event? SkySports
  18. BMW PGA Championship: Field, format and prize money as McIlroy returns SkySports

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Resolved Will Adam Scott win the 2026 BMW PGA Championship? No 41d ago

    The market favoured No at 94% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

In this story

  • Rory McIlroy
  • BMW PGA Championship
  • Wentworth
  • Manuel Elvira
  • Filippo Celli
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