Will Adam Scott win the 2026 BMW PGA Championship?
The market favoured No at 94% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$28k
Total volume$28k
Liquidity$56k
Resolved21 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 20 Sept, 18:52 UTC | 0% |
| 20 Sept, 16:29 UTC | 0% |
| 20 Sept, 15:55 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 15:28 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 14:49 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 14:24 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 13:43 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 13:24 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 12:53 UTC | 11% |
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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