Mbappe Scores Twice as Real Madrid Beat Sevilla 4-1 Hot: $136k traded on its market in 24 hours
The victory closes the gap on Barcelona to six points ahead of next weekend's El Clasico.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 22% |
| 19 Oct, 00:37 UTC | 23% |
| 19 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 23% |
| 18 Oct, 23:03 UTC | 22% |
| 18 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 21% |
| 18 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 23% |
| 18 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 22% |
| 18 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 21% |
| 18 Oct, 19:03 UTC | 21% |
| 18 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 22% |
| 18 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 21% |
| 18 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 21% |
| 18 Oct, 16:45 UTC | 22% |
| 18 Oct, 16:24 UTC | 21% |
| 18 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 20% |
| 18 Oct, 15:29 UTC | 22% |
| 18 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 22% |
| 18 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 21% |
| 18 Oct, 12:48 UTC | 20% |
| 18 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 20% |
| 18 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 21% |
| 18 Oct, 09:08 UTC | 21% |
| 18 Oct, 08:27 UTC | 21% |
| 18 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 23% |
| 18 Oct, 05:31 UTC | 22% |
| 18 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 21% |
| 18 Oct, 03:36 UTC | 22% |
| 18 Oct, 02:31 UTC | 23% |
| 18 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 23:58 UTC | 23% |
| 17 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 21% |
| 17 Oct, 21:52 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 20:18 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 21% |
| 17 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 21% |
| 17 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 20% |
| 17 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 16:09 UTC | 21% |
| 17 Oct, 15:15 UTC | 21% |
| 17 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 21% |
| 17 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 21% |
| 17 Oct, 13:09 UTC | 21% |
| 17 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 10:19 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 09:19 UTC | 23% |
| 17 Oct, 06:41 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 23% |
| 17 Oct, 05:29 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 03:10 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 23% |
| 17 Oct, 02:17 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 23% |
| 17 Oct, 00:38 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 22:55 UTC | 20% |
| 16 Oct, 22:09 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 21:02 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 21% |
| 16 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 19:13 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Oct, 17:29 UTC | 21% |
| 16 Oct, 15:31 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Oct, 14:08 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 24% |
| 16 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 11:09 UTC | 24% |
| 16 Oct, 10:42 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 10:14 UTC | 21% |
| 16 Oct, 09:33 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 21% |
| 16 Oct, 08:13 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 21% |
| 16 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 21% |
| 16 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 21% |
| 16 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 21% |
| 16 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 20% |
| 16 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 23:56 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 22:29 UTC | 20% |
| 15 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 19:28 UTC | 20% |
| 15 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 20% |
| 15 Oct, 17:32 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 17:18 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 15:52 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 14:57 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 13:59 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 13:17 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 12:30 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 11:20 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 07:00 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 20% |
| 15 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Oct, 04:42 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 03:25 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 02:08 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 00:51 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 18% |
| 14 Oct, 20:18 UTC | 18% |
| 14 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 13:40 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 11:59 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 11:03 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 10:36 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 07:23 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 02:42 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 00:00 UTC | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 23:39 UTC | 22% |
| 13 Oct, 23:06 UTC | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 22:59 UTC | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 20% |
| 13 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 18% |
| 13 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 20% |
| 13 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 19% |
| 13 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 22% |
| 13 Oct, 08:14 UTC | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 23% |
| 13 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 24% |
| 12 Oct, 23:40 UTC | 20% |
| 12 Oct, 22:27 UTC | 19% |
| 12 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 18% |
| 12 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 20% |
| 12 Oct, 16:19 UTC | 19% |
| 12 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 22% |
| 12 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 21% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 18 Oct 2026. BBC Sport published first, on 18 October at 21:39 UTC; SI Feed followed 1h 47m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 18 October at 23:25 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: BBC Sport, SI Feed.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Real Madrid — the market puts it at 22%, with $136k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 27 Oct 2026. Real Madrid must win the La Liga match against Barcelona within the standard 90 minutes of play, including any added stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not count toward the result. Readers often mistake the final score after extra time as the deciding factor.
- Real Madrid — the market puts it at 18%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Real Madrid wins the 2026-27 La Liga title. It resolves to No if they do not. Readers often mistake the date of a single match, like the recent loss to Barcelona, for the final championship outcome.
- Kylian Mbappe leaves before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 8%, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Kylian Mbappe transfers out of Real Madrid before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he remains at the club past that date. Readers often mistake his injury status or national team availability for a transfer.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Real Madrid 22%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Real Madrid 18% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Kylian Mbappe leaves before Jan 1, 2027 8%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Real Madrid
- Sevilla
- Kylian Mbappe
- Barcelona