Kylian Mbappe leaves before Jan 1, 2027
Implied probability 7%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Your call. How does this end?
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Kylian Mbappe transfers out of Real Madrid before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he remains at the club past that date. Readers often mistake his injury status or national team availability for a transfer.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%