Real Madrid
Implied probability 22%+1
24-hour volume$29k
Total volume$66k
Liquidity$66k
Resolves27 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 11:59 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 11:03 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 10:36 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 07:23 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 02:42 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 00:00 UTC | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 23:39 UTC | 22% |
| 13 Oct, 23:06 UTC | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 22:59 UTC | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 20% |
| 13 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 18% |
| 13 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 20% |
| 13 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 19% |
| 13 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 22% |
| 13 Oct, 08:14 UTC | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 23% |
| 13 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 24% |
| 12 Oct, 23:40 UTC | 20% |
| 12 Oct, 22:27 UTC | 19% |
| 12 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 18% |
| 12 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 20% |
| 12 Oct, 16:19 UTC | 19% |
| 12 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 22% |
| 12 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 21% |
| 11 Oct, 12:33 UTC | 80% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
Real Madrid must win the La Liga match against Barcelona within the standard 90 minutes of play, including any added stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not count toward the result. Readers often mistake the final score after extra time as the deciding factor.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 22%
- No 78%