Mbappé Reaches 100 Goals for Real Madrid, Surpassing Ronaldo's Pace
Kylian Mbappé has scored his 100th goal for Real Madrid, achieving the milestone faster than Cristiano Ronaldo.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 07:39 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 9% |
| 22 Oct, 06:15 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Oct, 02:05 UTC | 8% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 7% |
| 14 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Oct, 20:34 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Oct, 00:30 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Sept, 13:41 UTC | 6% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 29 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 29 October at 12:13 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Kylian Mbappe leaves before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 5%, with $76 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Kylian Mbappe transfers out of Real Madrid before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he remains at the club past that date. Readers often mistake his injury status or national team availability for a transfer.
- 40+ Goals Scored — the market puts it at 5%, closing 28 Jul 2043. The market resolves to Yes if Kylian Mbappe scores at least 40 goals in FIFA World Cup matches throughout his entire career. It resolves to No if he fails to reach that total by the end of his professional life. Readers often mistake this for a single tournament or season target, but it applies to all World Cup games combined.
- Kylian Mbappe — the market puts it at 77%, with $238 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Kylian Mbappe finishes as the top goal scorer in the 2026-27 La Liga regular season. It resolves to No if he does not lead the league in goals. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of his total career goals or confuse the specific 2026-27 season with other campaigns.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Kylian Mbappe leaves before Jan 1, 2027 5%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi 40+ Goals Scored 5%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Kylian Mbappe 77% +9
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Kylian Mbappé
- Real Madrid