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Kylian Mbappe

Implied probability 37%−5
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves14 Jun 2027

Why it moved: −5 points at 11:55 UTC, after Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Real Madrid’s Mourinho lashes out at ‘ridiculous’ criticism of Mbappe — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Kylian Mbappe
0%50%100%37%8 Oct, 11:38 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now37%
9 Oct, 11:55 UTC37%
8 Oct, 11:38 UTC42%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Kylian Mbappe finishes as the top goal scorer in the 2026-27 La Liga regular season. It resolves to No if he does not lead the league in goals. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of his total career goals or confuse the specific 2026-27 season with other campaigns.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 37%
  • No 63%

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