LA Mayoral Candidate Raman Emphasizes Independence From DSA Despite Backing
Nithya Raman asserts her independence from the Democratic Socialist of America during a forum against incumbent Mayor Karen Bass.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 30 Sept 2026. The Hill published first, on 30 September at 19:41 UTC; Bloomberg Markets followed 23h 25m later. The most recent article, from The Hollywood Reporter, appeared on 1 October at 20:39 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet).
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Nithya Raman, ≥2% — the market puts it at 59%, with $9 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if Nithya Raman wins the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by a margin of at least 2%. The outcome is No if she loses or wins by less than 2%. Readers often mistake the linked poll results for the final election result.
- Nithya Raman — the market puts it at 41%, closing 3 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Bernie Sanders publicly endorses Nithya Raman for the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral race before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story’s mention of independence as a resolution factor, but only a public endorsement by Sanders counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Nithya Raman, ≥2% 59% −3
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Nithya Raman 41%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 59% |
| 30 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 59% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 68% |
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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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Replay the odds
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Nithya Raman, ≥2% respond.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Nithya Raman, ≥2% at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
In this story
- Nithya Raman
- Karen Bass
- Democratic Socialist of America