Nithya Raman, ≥2%
Why it moved: +13 points at 20:55 UTC, after Fox News Politics: Spencer Pratt warns 'good luck LA' after new poll vindicates his stunning prediction — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 52% |
| 23 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 52% |
| 23 Sept, 16:49 UTC | 39% |
| 22 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 42% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Nithya Raman wins the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by a margin of at least 2%. The outcome is No if she loses or wins by less than 2%. Readers often mistake the linked poll results for the final election result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 52%
- No 48%