Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra
Implied probability 65%
24-hour volume$161
Total volume$18k
Liquidity$18k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 65% |
| 3 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 11:48 UTC | 65% |
| 1 Oct, 10:47 UTC | 64% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes only if Nithya Raman wins the Los Angeles mayoral election and Xavier Becerra wins the California gubernatorial election by November 2026. Both candidates must win their respective races for the outcome to be Yes. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of individual candidate success rather than requiring both specific victories simultaneously.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 65%
- No 35%