NewsMarkets

Politics

Kushner Denies CNN Report Linking His Firm to Israeli Military Investments

The US special envoy refutes allegations that his private equity firm benefited from diplomatic work in the Middle East.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 2 Oct 2026 · updated 2h ago

The odds

How the odds moved · Jared Kushner
0%50%100%10%1 Oct, 22:23 UTCnowThe Hill News: Kushner pushes back on CNN report about Israeli investments tied to military · 2 Oct, 22:33 UTCMother Jones: Does Jared Kushner Know What a Conflict of Interest Is? · 3 Oct, 20:55 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now10%
1 Oct, 22:23 UTC10%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 2 Oct 2026. The Hill News published first, on 2 October at 22:33 UTC; Mother Jones followed 22h 22m later. The most recent article, from Mother Jones, appeared on 3 October at 20:55 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hill News (major outlet), Mother Jones.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Jared Kushner — the market puts it at 10%, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Jared Kushner formally announces a campaign for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake unrelated business news or private statements for an official campaign announcement.
  • Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 46%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Jared Kushner is physically present and actively participates in a formal senior-level diplomatic meeting between US and Iran officials before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The event must be an in-person negotiation authorized by both governments, not just technical talks or casual encounters.
  • Jared Kushner — the market puts it at 48%, closing 21 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if Jared Kushner receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump during his second term and before January 21, 2029. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of Trump's first term instead of January 21, 2029.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Kushner pushes back on CNN report about Israeli investments tied to military The Hill News ·
  2. Does Jared Kushner Know What a Conflict of Interest Is? Mother Jones

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Jared Kushner 10% $0 24hends 1 Jan 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? 46% −8 $3k 24hends 31 Dec 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Jared Kushner 48% $0 24hends 21 Jan 2029

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

In this story

Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.