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Judo Star Teddy Riner Announces 2027 French Presidential Bid Hot: $96k traded on its market in 24 hours

The five-time Olympic champion seeks to unite voters amid political fragmentation, drawing praise from President Emmanuel Macron.

8 publishers · 15 articles · first seen 9 Nov 2026 · updated 2h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, 45 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

The odds

How the odds moved · Teddy Riner
0%50%100%2%8 Nov, 16:31 UTCnowThe Economist: A judo champion enters the presidential race in France · 12 Nov, 14:08 UTCVariety: French Judo Legend Teddy Riner Announces 2027 Presidential Bid, Drawing Praise From Emmanuel Macron · 10 Nov, 01:28 UTCThe Guardian: Judo star Teddy Riner announces plan to run in France’s presidential election · 9 Nov, 16:24 UTCwww.espn.com: Riner, 5-time Olympic judo champ, announces run for French presidency · 9 Nov, 15:05 UTCFrance 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: Teddy Riner candidacy 'illustrative of this hunger for an alternative' to Le Pen or Mélenchon · 11 Nov, 07:25 UTCFrance 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: Teddy Riner candidacy 'illustrative of this hunger for an alternative' to Le Pen or Mélenchon · 10 Nov, 23:13 UTCFrance 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: Sports legends whose political fortunes may be a lesson to Riner ahead of presidential bid · 10 Nov, 16:59 UTCFrance 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: Teddy Riner: From French Olympic judo champion to presidential candidate · 10 Nov, 11:16 UTCFrance 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: Teddy Riner announces candidacy for French presidential elections · 10 Nov, 06:35 UTCFrance 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivo: Teddy Riner: de estrella de judo a candidato a la Presidencia en Francia · 10 Nov, 03:23 UTCSouth China Morning Post: France’s Macron welcomes judo star Teddy Riner’s entrance into the 2027 presidential race · 9 Nov, 22:18 UTCFrance 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: French Judo superstar Teddy Riner says will run for president · 9 Nov, 21:14 UTCQuartz: Der olympische Judo-Champion Teddy Riner kündigte eine Kandidatur für das Amt des französischen Präsidenten an. · 9 Nov, 12:20 UTCDeadline: Olympics Gold Medalist & ‘Love Is Blind: France’ Presenter Teddy Riner Enters French Presidential Race · 9 Nov, 11:36 UTCFrance 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: 🔴 Judo star Teddy Riner announces bid for French presidency · 9 Nov, 10:50 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now2%
11 Nov, 17:01 UTC2%
10 Nov, 03:01 UTC1%
10 Nov, 02:27 UTC3%
9 Nov, 23:18 UTC2%
9 Nov, 20:34 UTC1%
9 Nov, 18:47 UTC2%
9 Nov, 17:15 UTC1%
9 Nov, 16:54 UTC3%
8 Nov, 16:31 UTC0%

The story so far

8 publishers have covered this in 15 articles since 9 Nov 2026. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines published first, on 9 November at 10:50 UTC; Deadline followed 45 min later. The most recent article, from The Economist, appeared on 12 November at 14:08 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), The Guardian (major outlet), Variety (major outlet), The Economist (major outlet), France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, Deadline, Quartz, South China Morning Post.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Teddy Riner — the market puts it at 2%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 May 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Teddy Riner wins the next French presidential election. It resolves to No if he does not win. Readers often mistake an announcement of a bid for an actual victory.
  • Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election? — the market puts it at 2%, with $96k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 19 Apr 2027. The Yes outcome requires Teddy Riner to win the 2027 French presidential election according to official results from the French Ministry of the Interior. The No outcome applies if he does not win, including if he loses in a runoff or fails to reach the top two candidates.
  • Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? — the market puts it at 40%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 18 Apr 2027. The outcome is Yes if Teddy Riner appears on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. The market resolves to No if he does not appear on that list or if no list is published and the election fails to occur by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Teddy Riner at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines🔴 Judo star Teddy Riner announces bid for French presidency0%
  2. DeadlineOlympics Gold Medalist & ‘Love Is Blind: France’ Presenter Teddy Riner Enters French Presidential Race0%
  3. QuartzDer olympische Judo-Champion Teddy Riner kündigte eine Kandidatur für das Amt des französischen Präsidenten an.0%
  4. www.espn.comRiner, 5-time Olympic judo champ, announces run for French presidency0%
  5. The GuardianJudo star Teddy Riner announces plan to run in France’s presidential election0%
  6. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesFrench Judo superstar Teddy Riner says will run for president1%▲1 points since the previous source
  7. South China Morning PostFrance’s Macron welcomes judo star Teddy Riner’s entrance into the 2027 presidential race1%
  8. VarietyFrench Judo Legend Teddy Riner Announces 2027 Presidential Bid, Drawing Praise From Emmanuel Macron2%▲1 points since the previous source
  9. France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivoTeddy Riner: de estrella de judo a candidato a la Presidencia en Francia1%▼1 points since the previous source
  10. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesTeddy Riner announces candidacy for French presidential elections1%
  11. Show 5 later sources
    1. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesTeddy Riner: From French Olympic judo champion to presidential candidate1%
    2. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesSports legends whose political fortunes may be a lesson to Riner ahead of presidential bid1%
    3. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesTeddy Riner candidacy 'illustrative of this hunger for an alternative' to Le Pen or Mélenchon1%
    4. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesTeddy Riner candidacy 'illustrative of this hunger for an alternative' to Le Pen or Mélenchon1%
    5. The EconomistA judo champion enters the presidential race in France2%▲1 points since the previous source
  12. Current odds2%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. A judo champion enters the presidential race in France The Economist ·
  2. French Judo Legend Teddy Riner Announces 2027 Presidential Bid, Drawing Praise From Emmanuel Macron Variety ·
  3. Judo star Teddy Riner announces plan to run in France’s presidential election The Guardian ·
  4. Riner, 5-time Olympic judo champ, announces run for French presidency www.espn.com ·
  5. Teddy Riner candidacy 'illustrative of this hunger for an alternative' to Le Pen or Mélenchon France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
  6. Teddy Riner candidacy 'illustrative of this hunger for an alternative' to Le Pen or Mélenchon France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
Show 9 more sources
  1. Sports legends whose political fortunes may be a lesson to Riner ahead of presidential bid France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
  2. Teddy Riner: From French Olympic judo champion to presidential candidate France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
  3. Teddy Riner announces candidacy for French presidential elections France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
  4. Teddy Riner: de estrella de judo a candidato a la Presidencia en Francia France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivo
  5. France’s Macron welcomes judo star Teddy Riner’s entrance into the 2027 presidential race South China Morning Post
  6. French Judo superstar Teddy Riner says will run for president France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
  7. Der olympische Judo-Champion Teddy Riner kündigte eine Kandidatur für das Amt des französischen Präsidenten an. Quartz
  8. Olympics Gold Medalist & ‘Love Is Blind: France’ Presenter Teddy Riner Enters French Presidential Race Deadline
  9. 🔴 Judo star Teddy Riner announces bid for French presidency France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Teddy Riner · Next French presidential election winner? 2% +1 $3k 24hends 30 May 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election? 2% $96k 24hends 19 Apr 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? 40% −6 $1k 24hends 18 Apr 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Teddy Riner
  • Emmanuel Macron
  • France
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