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Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability 40%−6
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$44k
Liquidity$45k
Resolves18 Apr 2027
How the odds moved · Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
0%50%100%40%8 Nov, 12:03 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now40%
12 Nov, 15:06 UTC40%
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Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Teddy Riner appears on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. The market resolves to No if he does not appear on that list or if no list is published and the election fails to occur by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 40%
  • No 60%

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