Judge Dismisses Sam Altman Sister's Abuse Lawsuit
A federal judge dismissed the case after Anne Altman refused to attend an independent medical examination.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Bloomberg.com, 1h 06m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 20:31 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 15:01 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 4% |
| 19 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 9% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Hires respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 20 Oct 2026. Bloomberg.com published first, on 20 October at 18:33 UTC; Quartz followed 1h 07m later. The most recent article, from RSS 2.0, appeared on 20 October at 20:53 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg.com (major outlet), Quartz, BBC Business, RSS 2.0.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Hires — the market puts it at 5%, with $77 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if OpenAI’s CEO changes before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if the CEO remains the same through that date. Readers often mistake the linked story about David Robinson quitting for a change in the CEO role.
- New York Times wins — the market puts it at 58%, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if the Southern District of New York finds OpenAI liable for copyright infringement or any other counts alleged by the New York Times. It resolves to No if that specific court does not issue such a finding. Readers often mistake the linked lawsuit against the New York Times for the actual resolution criteria, but the outcome depends entirely on the legal judgment against OpenAI.
- Will Sam Altman hold super-voting OpenAI shares at IPO? — the market puts it at 20%, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Sam Altman retains voting rights in his OpenAI shares that exceed those granted to public investors after the company goes public. It resolves to No if he does not hold such super-voting shares at that time. Readers often mistake the dismissal of a lawsuit for proof of share structure, but only the actual terms of the IPO matter.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Hires at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg.comSam Altman Sister’s Abuse Claims Against Him Dismissed by Judge3%
- QuartzSam Altman won dismissal of his sister's sexual abuse lawsuit in federal court3%
- BBC BusinessOpenAI CEO Sam Altman wins dismissal of sister's lawsuit3%
- RSS 2.0Judge tosses sexual abuse lawsuit from Sam Altman's sister5%▲2 points since the previous source
- Current odds5%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Sam Altman Sister’s Abuse Claims Against Him Dismissed by Judge Bloomberg.com ·
- Judge tosses sexual abuse lawsuit from Sam Altman's sister RSS 2.0
- OpenAI CEO Sam Altman wins dismissal of sister's lawsuit BBC Business
- Sam Altman won dismissal of his sister's sexual abuse lawsuit in federal court Quartz
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Hires 5% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi New York Times wins 58%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Will Sam Altman hold super-voting OpenAI shares at IPO? 20%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Sam Altman
- OpenAI
- Anne Altman