New York Times wins
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 55% |
| 25 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 55% |
| 25 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 56% |
| 25 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Sept, 07:35 UTC | 23% |
| 24 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Sept, 23:09 UTC | 66% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Southern District of New York finds OpenAI liable for copyright infringement or any other counts alleged by the New York Times. It resolves to No if that specific court does not issue such a finding. Readers often mistake the linked lawsuit against the New York Times for the actual resolution criteria, but the outcome depends entirely on the legal judgment against OpenAI.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 55%
- No 45%