Israel's President Faces Choice on Prime Minister Candidate

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 28 Oct 2026. The New York Times published first, on 28 October at 05:18 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Benjamin Netanyahu — the market puts it at 37%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Israel's President gives Benjamin Netanyahu the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Knesset election and before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the issuance date rather than January 1, 2027.
• Benjamin Netanyahu — the market puts it at 21%, with $386k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 27 Oct 2027. The outcome is Yes if Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before October 27, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not meet these conditions by that deadline. Readers often mistake the date of his UN General Assembly speech for the resolution deadline.
• Noam — the market puts it at 1%, with $984 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2028. The outcome is Yes if a governing coalition that includes the Noam party forms the next Israeli government before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the date of the election rather than the date the coalition must form.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.