Benjamin Netanyahu
Implied probability 61%+39
24-hour volume$65k
Total volume$75k
Liquidity$75k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Israel's President gives Benjamin Netanyahu the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Knesset election and before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the issuance date rather than January 1, 2027.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 61%
- No 39%