Indonesia Removes Tightly Held Stocks From Benchmark to Avert MSCI Downgrade
Regulators exclude concentrated ownership shares from the benchmark index to prevent a potential two-step downgrade by MSCI Inc.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 13 Oct, 11:37 UTC | 5% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 19 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 19 October at 03:17 UTC; News Feed followed 12h 42m later. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Markets, appeared on 20 October at 02:11 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet).
One prediction market prices this story:
- Indonesia — the market puts it at 5%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Israel and Indonesia establish formal diplomatic ties before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a religious body's opposition as the deciding factor, but only official diplomatic normalization counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Indonesia at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg MarketsIndonesia Said to Meet Monday With MSCI Over Shock Index Threat5%
- Bloomberg MarketsIndonesia to Exclude Tightly Owned Stocks From Benchmark Index5%
- News FeedIndonesia expels tightly held companies from Jakarta index in bid to avoid MSCI downgrade5%
- Bloomberg MarketsIndonesia’s Tightly Held Stock Cut a Positive Move, Analysts Say5%
- Bloomberg MarketsIndonesia Stocks Rebound as Authorities Step Up Response to MSCI5%
- Current odds5%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Indonesia Stocks Rebound as Authorities Step Up Response to MSCI Bloomberg Markets ·
- Indonesia’s Tightly Held Stock Cut a Positive Move, Analysts Say Bloomberg Markets ·
- Indonesia expels tightly held companies from Jakarta index in bid to avoid MSCI downgrade News Feed ·
- Indonesia to Exclude Tightly Owned Stocks From Benchmark Index Bloomberg Markets ·
- Indonesia Said to Meet Monday With MSCI Over Shock Index Threat Bloomberg Markets ·
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Indonesia 5%
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In this story
- Indonesia
- MSCI Inc.
- Indonesia Stock Exchange