Cut 1-25bps
Implied probability 4%−6
24-hour volume$79
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves18 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 20:42 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 04:38 UTC | 10% |
| 22 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 26% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Bank Indonesia cuts interest rates by 1 to 25 basis points during its November Board of Governors Meeting. The outcome is No if it does not take this specific action within that meeting. Readers often mistake the MSCI downgrade threat for the resolution criteria, but only Bank Indonesia's rate decision matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%