Indonesia
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$17k
Liquidity$17k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 13 Oct, 11:37 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Israel and Indonesia establish formal diplomatic ties before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a religious body's opposition as the deciding factor, but only official diplomatic normalization counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%