ICE Deportations And Arrests Hit Record High In Fiscal Year 2026
New Department of Homeland Security figures show more than 483,000 deportations and 491,000 immigration arrests in fiscal year 2026.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 12 Nov, 15:06 UTC | 10% |
| 12 Nov, 12:54 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Nov, 11:56 UTC | 10% |
| 11 Nov, 11:01 UTC | 4% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 12 Nov 2026. CBS News Politics published first, on 12 November at 11:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Above 500,000 — resolved “No” on 12 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if ICE removes more than 500,000 people during fiscal year 2026. The outcome is No if that number stays at 500,000 or below. Readers often mistake the calendar year for the fiscal year.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Above 500,000 · Deportations in 2026? No 27m ago
The market favoured No at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- ICE
- Department of Homeland Security