Hackers Leak Hundreds of Thousands of AfD Party Emails in Cyberattack
Thousands of internal documents from Germany's far-right AfD party have been released following a cyberattack, prompting an official inquiry.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 55% |
| 14 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 55% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 19 Oct 2026. Hacker News published first, on 19 October at 20:31 UTC; Deutsche Welle followed 19h 10m later. The most recent article, from Deutsche Welle, appeared on 20 October at 15:41 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Hacker News, Deutsche Welle.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 55%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the Alternative fuer Deutschland joins a German state government between now and January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if this does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked headline as sufficient proof, but only an official entry into a state government counts toward resolution.
- AfD — the market puts it at 83%, closing 25 Mar 2030. The market resolves to Yes if the Alternative for Germany party wins the next German federal election. It resolves to No if any other party wins that election. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of which party will win the next regional or European election, but only the Bundestag vote counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before Jan 1, 2027 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 55%
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Wrong market?
- Kalshi AfD 83%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- AfD