AfD
Implied probability 48%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves15 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 48% |
| 5 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 48% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a coalition including the AfD forms the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before January 15, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the headline's regional context for a national outcome or miss the strict deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 48%
- No 52%