NewsMarkets

Politics

German Bishop Condemns AfD as Wolf in Sheep’s Clothing

Catholic leader Heiner Wilmer denounces the party for contempt of democracy as it rethinks its economic stance.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 2 Nov 2026 · updated 2h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · AfD
0%50%100%82%28 Oct, 07:08 UTCnowNews Feed: Top German bishop denounces far-right AfD as a ‘wolf in sheep’s clothing’ · 2 Nov, 11:00 UTCLatest articles: As Europe’s right advances, Germany’s AfD rethinks its anti-euro roots · 2 Nov, 07:32 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now82%
1 Nov, 09:35 UTC82%
28 Oct, 07:08 UTC81%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 2 Nov 2026. Latest articles published first, on 2 November at 07:32 UTC; News Feed followed 3h 28m later. The most recent article, from News Feed, appeared on 2 November at 11:00 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: News Feed (major outlet), Latest articles.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • AfD — the market puts it at 82%, closing 25 Mar 2030. The market resolves to Yes if the Alternative for Germany party wins the next German federal election. It resolves to No if any other party wins that election. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of which party will win the next regional or European election, but only the Bundestag vote counts.
  • Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 44%, with $6 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the Alternative fuer Deutschland joins a German state government between now and January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if this does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked headline as sufficient proof, but only an official entry into a state government counts toward resolution.
  • AfD — the market puts it at 64%, closing 15 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a coalition including the AfD forms the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before January 15, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the headline's regional context for a national outcome or miss the strict deadline.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Top German bishop denounces far-right AfD as a ‘wolf in sheep’s clothing’ News Feed ·
  2. As Europe’s right advances, Germany’s AfD rethinks its anti-euro roots Latest articles

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi AfD 82% $0 24hends 25 Mar 2030

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 44% +2 $6 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi AfD 64% $0 24hends 15 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

In this story

  • Heiner Wilmer
  • AfD
Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.