GOP Super PAC Pours $5 Million Into South Carolina Senate Race

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 6 Oct 2026. CBS News Politics published first, on 6 October at 18:40 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Graham, 5+ pts — the market puts it at 49%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if the Republican candidate wins the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by a margin of at least 5 percentage points. The outcome is No if the Republican candidate wins by less than 5 percentage points or loses the election. Readers often mistake the required margin, thinking any Republican victory counts rather than specifically a win of 5 points or more.
• Republican party — the market puts it at 84%, closing 7 Nov 2029. The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is sworn in as a U.S. Senator from South Carolina for the term starting in 2029. It resolves to No if that specific event does not occur. Readers often mistake the date of the election or the announcement of a candidate for the actual swearing-in date.
• South Carolina — the market puts it at 48%, with $20 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the winner of the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in South Carolina wins by a margin of 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive. The outcome depends on the official certified results of that specific election. Readers often mistake the deadline for the linked news story as the resolution date.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.