Germany Tells Orcel to Keep Commerzbank HQ After Takeover Hot: $125k traded on its market in 24 hours
Finance minister Lars Klingbeil demands safeguards for 40,000 employees and Mittelstand financing as Andrea Orcel completes the acquisition.
Markets on this story
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 26% |
| 15 Sept, 09:58 UTC | 26% |
| 15 Sept, 09:27 UTC | 27% |
| 15 Sept, 08:53 UTC | 26% |
| 15 Sept, 08:23 UTC | 28% |
| 15 Sept, 07:59 UTC | 29% |
| 15 Sept, 07:13 UTC | 24% |
| 15 Sept, 04:14 UTC | 25% |
| 15 Sept, 03:09 UTC | 25% |
| 15 Sept, 00:32 UTC | 25% |
| 15 Sept, 00:05 UTC | 25% |
| 14 Sept, 23:36 UTC | 25% |
| 14 Sept, 22:16 UTC | 25% |
| 14 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 24% |
| 14 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 24% |
| 14 Sept, 20:47 UTC | 25% |
| 14 Sept, 20:22 UTC | 24% |
| 14 Sept, 19:46 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 20% |
| 13 Sept, 07:24 UTC | 18% |
| 13 Sept, 04:12 UTC | 17% |
| 12 Sept, 23:42 UTC | 18% |
| 11 Sept, 23:42 UTC | 17% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
In this story
- Lars Klingbeil
- Andrea Orcel
- Commerzbank
- Friedrich Merz
- Johann Wadephul