NewsMarkets

Markets

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026

Implied probability 5%−1
24-hour volume$21k
Total volume$40k
Liquidity$41k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026
0%50%100%5%16 Sept, 08:21 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now5%
17 Sept, 02:30 UTC5%
17 Sept, 01:42 UTC6%
16 Sept, 22:17 UTC7%
16 Sept, 21:54 UTC6%
16 Sept, 20:24 UTC6%
16 Sept, 19:39 UTC6%
16 Sept, 19:28 UTC7%
16 Sept, 18:03 UTC6%
16 Sept, 17:33 UTC7%
16 Sept, 13:35 UTC6%
16 Sept, 11:12 UTC7%
16 Sept, 10:32 UTC7%
16 Sept, 10:11 UTC7%
16 Sept, 09:47 UTC9%
16 Sept, 09:05 UTC10%
16 Sept, 08:55 UTC8%
16 Sept, 08:21 UTC6%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

Outcomes

  • Yes 5%
  • No 96%

Trade this market on Polymarket →

Embed this market

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.

Stories on this market