Georgia Voters Elect Governor and Senate in 2026 Midterms Hot: $76k traded on its market in 24 hours
Georgians vote for a new governor as incumbent Brian Kemp is term-limited, while Sen. Jon Ossoff seeks re-election.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 28% |
| 3 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 21:11 UTC | 28% |
| 3 Nov, 20:49 UTC | 28% |
| 3 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 28% |
| 3 Nov, 19:50 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 18:44 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 16:26 UTC | 34% |
| 3 Nov, 14:32 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 14:25 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 13:40 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 12:50 UTC | 29% |
| 3 Nov, 11:52 UTC | 28% |
| 3 Nov, 10:38 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 09:40 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 09:27 UTC | 28% |
| 3 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | 26% |
| 3 Nov, 06:44 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 28% |
| 2 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 10:36 UTC | 30% |
| 2 Nov, 08:57 UTC | 29% |
| 2 Nov, 02:01 UTC | 30% |
| 1 Nov, 22:10 UTC | 31% |
| 1 Nov, 21:56 UTC | 30% |
| 1 Nov, 20:21 UTC | 29% |
| 1 Nov, 19:16 UTC | 28% |
| 1 Nov, 15:00 UTC | 30% |
| 1 Nov, 10:28 UTC | 30% |
| 1 Nov, 05:04 UTC | 30% |
| 1 Nov, 03:54 UTC | 30% |
| 1 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 30% |
| 1 Nov, 02:15 UTC | 30% |
| 1 Nov, 00:28 UTC | 31% |
| 31 Oct, 20:21 UTC | 32% |
| 31 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 31% |
| 31 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 32% |
| 31 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 32% |
| 31 Oct, 02:19 UTC | 33% |
| 31 Oct, 01:39 UTC | 35% |
| 31 Oct, 00:38 UTC | 35% |
| 30 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 35% |
| 30 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 35% |
| 30 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Oct, 13:50 UTC | 33% |
| 30 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Oct, 10:06 UTC | 37% |
| 30 Oct, 07:09 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 37% |
| 29 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 39% |
| 29 Oct, 08:26 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 21:15 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 19:40 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 15:19 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 14:56 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 12:04 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 11:37 UTC | 39% |
| 28 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 38% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 3 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 3 November at 17:00 UTC; NPR Politics followed 3h 52m later. The most recent article, from NPR Politics, appeared on 3 November at 20:51 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill News (major outlet), NPR Politics (major outlet).
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? — the market puts it at 28%, with $45k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if a Republican wins the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election, and No otherwise. The market resolves once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate, or based on official certification if they do not agree. Readers often mistake the linked football story as relevant to the resolution.
- Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? — the market puts it at 2%, with $76k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if a Republican wins the 2026 Georgia U.S. Senate election, including any run-offs. The No outcome applies if a Democrat or independent candidate wins. Readers often mistake the deadline for when all three official sources (Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC) call the race for the same candidate, rather than just one source.
- Governor — the market puts it at 94%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a candidate wins more than 50% of the vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial general election. This outcome eliminates all runoffs and instant-runoff tabulations. Readers often mistake early voting totals for final results, but only the official certified winner after Election Day counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The HillGeorgia live results: 2026 House races33%
- The Hill NewsGeorgia live results: 2026 governor’s election33%
- The Hill NewsGeorgia live results: 2026 Senate election33%
- NPR PoliticsGeorgia Voters go to the polls to elect a new governor and decide fate of Sen. Ossoff28%▼4 points since the previous source
- Current odds28%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? 28% −3
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? 2%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Governor 94% +4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Brian Kemp
- Rick Jackson
- Jon Ossoff
- Georgia