France's far-right National Rally forms first Senate parliamentary group Hot: Odds moved 22 points in 24 hours
The party secured 14 seats in the upper house, marking a historic breakthrough for Marine Le Pen’s movement.
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- Polymarket Will the National Rally group hold 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? 1% −22
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- Polymarket National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026? 98% +12
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- Polymarket Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? 38%
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 27 Sept, 22:47 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Sept, 22:47 UTC | 23% |
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In this story
- Marine Le Pen
- National Rally
- French Senate