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Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$15k
Total volume$4.4M
Liquidity$847k
Resolves19 Apr 2027

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What counts

The Yes outcome occurs if Marine Tondelier wins the 2027 French presidential election, while No applies if she does not. The market resolves based on the official results reported by the French Ministry of the Interior or a consensus of credible reporting. Readers often mistake the deadline for knowing the winner as the end of the election period rather than December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 0%
  • No 100%

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