FBI Spy Hunting Squads Face Deep Cuts Amid Rising Espionage Threats
President Trump and FBI Director Kash Patel prioritize violent crime and immigration, leaving counterintelligence units understaffed.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 16% |
| 8 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 16% |
| 7 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Oct, 04:02 UTC | 6% |
| 5 Oct, 21:33 UTC | 7% |
| 5 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 6% |
| 5 Oct, 16:33 UTC | 7% |
| 5 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 6% |
| 5 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 7% |
| 5 Oct, 01:10 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Oct, 13:40 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Oct, 01:07 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 9% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 10% |
| 2 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 21:03 UTC | 10% |
| 1 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Sept, 12:38 UTC | 17% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Sept, 05:31 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Sept, 05:17 UTC | 18% |
| 30 Sept, 01:44 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Sept, 01:08 UTC | 19% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 15% |
| 29 Sept, 14:44 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 13:35 UTC | 20% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 15% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Sept, 13:37 UTC | 15% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 6 Oct 2026. NPR Politics published first, on 6 October at 09:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before Dec 1, 2026 — the market puts it at 16%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if Kash Patel leaves his position as FBI Director before December 1, 2026. The outcome is No if he remains in that role through that date. Readers often mistake the resignation of a deputy director for the departure of the director.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Before Dec 1, 2026 16% +9
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In this story
- FBI
- Kash Patel