Drake Releases 'FOMO' Four-Pack With Don Toliver Collaboration Hot: Odds moved 65 points in 24 hours
The artist drops four new tracks, including a remix of Choosin’ Texas with Don Toliver.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 2 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 98% |
| 2 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 04:33 UTC | 33% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 2 Oct 2026. Billboard published first, on 2 October at 04:00 UTC; Pitchfork followed 10 min later. The most recent article, from Pitchfork, appeared on 2 October at 04:10 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Billboard, Pitchfork.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Before Nov 1, 2026 — the market puts it at 98%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Drake releases a remix of Ella Langley’s song “Choosin’ Texas” before November 1, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about the 'FOMO' four-pack as relevant, but only a remix of “Choosin’ Texas” counts toward resolution.
- Don Toliver — the market puts it at 43%, with $834 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Don Toliver appears on Travis Scott's next album before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked Drake song for a relevant collaboration, but only Travis Scott's album counts.
- Don Toliver — the market puts it at 29%, with $216 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 26 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Don Toliver appears on a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 by the issue dated for the week of December 26, 2026. The outcome is No if this condition is not met by that specific date. Readers often mistake the release date of a single for the relevant deadline, but only the chart position in the specified Billboard issue counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Before Nov 1, 2026 98% +65
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Don Toliver 43% −16
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Don Toliver 29%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Drake
- Don Toliver