Don Toliver
Implied probability 29%
24-hour volume$216
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$9k
Resolves26 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 29% |
| 1 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 29% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Don Toliver appears on a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 by the issue dated for the week of December 26, 2026. The outcome is No if this condition is not met by that specific date. Readers often mistake the release date of a single for the relevant deadline, but only the chart position in the specified Billboard issue counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 29%
- No 71%