Don Toliver Hits No. 1 With 'Octane' After Viral Success

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 9 Oct 2026. Rolling Stone published first, on 9 October at 13:00 UTC; The Hollywood Reporter followed 3h 15m later. The most recent article, from The Hollywood Reporter, appeared on 9 October at 16:15 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), Rolling Stone.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Don Toliver — the market puts it at 14%, with $71 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 21 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if Don Toliver has a number one song on the Billboard Hot 100 by the issue dated for the week of December 26, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not reach that position within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the chart date for the release date of the song.
• Don Toliver — the market puts it at 96%, with $205 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 26 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Don Toliver appears on a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 by the issue dated for the week of December 26, 2026. The outcome is No if this condition is not met by that specific date. Readers often mistake the release date of a single for the relevant deadline, but only the chart position in the specified Billboard issue counts.
• Don Toliver — the market puts it at 43%, with $19 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Don Toliver appears on Travis Scott's next album before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked Drake song for a relevant collaboration, but only Travis Scott's album counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.