DOJ Not Reopening Probe Into Powell as US Hiring Slows
The Department of Justice declines to reopen its investigation into Jerome Powell while broader economic data shows a slowdown in US hiring.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 8% |
| 2 Oct, 19:16 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 18:39 UTC | 45% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Before Jan 1, 2027 respond.
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 3 articles since 2 Oct 2026. Bloomberg.com published first, on 2 October at 19:07 UTC. The most recent article, from Bloomberg.com, appeared on 3 October at 02:25 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 1%, with $255 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the Department of Justice reopens or starts a criminal investigation into Jerome Powell after May 4, 2023, at 2:00 PM ET and before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story as the resolution trigger, but only an official DOJ action counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before Jan 1, 2027 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg.comDOJ Not Reopening Probe Into Powell, US Hiring Slows, More45%
- Bloomberg.comLatest on FlyDubai Pilot, DOJ Not Reopening Powell Probe, More2%▼43 points since the previous source
- Bloomberg.comLatest on FlyDubai Pilot, Powell Case Not Reopened, More2%
- Current odds1%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 1% −7
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In this story
- DOJ
- Powell