Before Jan 1, 2027
Implied probability 1%−7
24-hour volume$255
Total volume$19k
Liquidity$19k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 8% |
| 2 Oct, 19:16 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 18:39 UTC | 45% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Department of Justice reopens or starts a criminal investigation into Jerome Powell after May 4, 2023, at 2:00 PM ET and before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story as the resolution trigger, but only an official DOJ action counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%