Scott Colom wins Mississippi Senate race, becoming first Black senator since Reconstruction
The Democrat defeats incumbent Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith in a historic upset to become the state's first Black US senator since 1875.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by politico.com, 2 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 12 Nov, 15:33 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Nov, 14:58 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Nov, 03:35 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Nov, 03:28 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Nov, 00:25 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 23:52 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 40% |
| 11 Nov, 22:59 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 21:52 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 20:15 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Nov, 19:26 UTC | 6% |
| 11 Nov, 16:25 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Nov, 15:35 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Nov, 15:28 UTC | 10% |
| 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC | 9% |
| 11 Nov, 04:55 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Nov, 03:22 UTC | 9% |
| 11 Nov, 02:13 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 23:28 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 7% |
| 10 Nov, 19:40 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Nov, 19:12 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Nov, 18:31 UTC | 10% |
| 10 Nov, 17:15 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 15:43 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 12:13 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Nov, 11:05 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 04:15 UTC | 10% |
| 10 Nov, 03:08 UTC | 6% |
| 10 Nov, 00:46 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Nov, 21:36 UTC | 5% |
| 9 Nov, 21:21 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Nov, 20:25 UTC | 12% |
| 9 Nov, 19:21 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Nov, 17:23 UTC | 17% |
| 9 Nov, 15:58 UTC | 19% |
| 9 Nov, 15:05 UTC | 23% |
| 9 Nov, 14:50 UTC | 31% |
| 9 Nov, 12:03 UTC | 13% |
| 9 Nov, 06:03 UTC | 20% |
| 9 Nov, 04:56 UTC | 14% |
| 9 Nov, 03:35 UTC | 12% |
| 9 Nov, 03:21 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Nov, 02:20 UTC | 15% |
| 9 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 14% |
| 9 Nov, 00:17 UTC | 19% |
| 8 Nov, 22:28 UTC | 17% |
| 8 Nov, 20:37 UTC | 16% |
| 8 Nov, 19:36 UTC | 17% |
| 8 Nov, 18:50 UTC | 14% |
| 8 Nov, 18:03 UTC | 16% |
| 8 Nov, 16:21 UTC | 14% |
| 8 Nov, 15:41 UTC | 12% |
| 8 Nov, 14:19 UTC | 15% |
| 8 Nov, 11:06 UTC | 18% |
| 8 Nov, 09:05 UTC | 22% |
| 8 Nov, 07:16 UTC | 29% |
| 8 Nov, 05:59 UTC | 31% |
| 8 Nov, 05:18 UTC | 30% |
| 8 Nov, 04:57 UTC | 29% |
| 8 Nov, 00:27 UTC | 28% |
| 7 Nov, 23:15 UTC | 36% |
| 7 Nov, 22:36 UTC | 29% |
| 7 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 26% |
| 7 Nov, 21:29 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Nov, 20:07 UTC | 12% |
| 7 Nov, 19:19 UTC | 23% |
| 7 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 27% |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | 22% |
| 7 Nov, 16:43 UTC | 27% |
| 7 Nov, 14:20 UTC | 30% |
| 7 Nov, 13:26 UTC | 24% |
| 7 Nov, 10:48 UTC | 20% |
| 7 Nov, 07:55 UTC | 18% |
| 7 Nov, 06:46 UTC | 16% |
| 7 Nov, 03:52 UTC | 17% |
| 7 Nov, 02:31 UTC | 12% |
| 7 Nov, 01:55 UTC | 17% |
| 7 Nov, 01:13 UTC | 22% |
| 7 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 14% |
| 6 Nov, 23:47 UTC | 14% |
| 6 Nov, 23:26 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Nov, 22:57 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Nov, 21:59 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 20:39 UTC | 21% |
| 6 Nov, 20:09 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Nov, 19:47 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Nov, 19:25 UTC | 19% |
| 6 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 23% |
| 6 Nov, 17:57 UTC | 15% |
| 6 Nov, 16:20 UTC | 16% |
| 6 Nov, 15:51 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Nov, 23:44 UTC | 30% |
| 5 Nov, 22:32 UTC | 21% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 18% |
| 5 Nov, 20:20 UTC | 17% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 21% |
| 5 Nov, 15:41 UTC | 16% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Colom, 1+ pts respond.
The story so far
16 publishers have covered this in 35 articles since 11 Nov 2026. politico.com published first, on 11 November at 23:01 UTC; Mother Jones followed 3 min later. The most recent article, from The Guardian US, appeared on 12 November at 14:24 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: politico.com (major outlet), NPR World (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Axios (major outlet), Mother Jones, BBC News, Times of India, Deutsche Welle, France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines and 4 more, all listed under Sources below.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Colom, 1+ pts — the market puts it at 1%, with $21k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Mississippi by at least one percentage point. The outcome is No if the margin of victory is less than one percentage point or if the Republican Party wins. Readers often mistake the linked news story about ballot preservation for the actual election result, but only the final certified vote count determines the resolution.
- Democratic — the market puts it at 33%, with $208 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat is inaugurated as Mississippi's governor after the 2027 election. The linked story about Scott Colom winning the state Senate race does not count toward this resolution. Readers often mistake the source of truth, confusing a legislative win with an executive inauguration.
- Will Scott Colom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 0%, with $20k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Scott Colom wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, based on a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. It resolves to No in all other cases, including any nominee changes before election day. Readers often mistake the final election winner for the resolution criteria, but only the party nomination matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Colom, 1+ pts at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- politico.comMississippi elects Democrat Scott Colom to Senate in massive upset4%
- Mother JonesMississippi, Once the Epicenter of Jim Crow, Elects Its First Black Senator Since Reconstruction4%
- NPR PoliticsDemocrat Scott Colom wins Mississippi Senate race4%
- The Guardian USHow Scott Colom won deep-red Mississippi with little help from Democrats4%
- BBC NewsDemocrat Scott Colom wins Mississippi Senate race in surprise victory for party4%
- Times of IndiaDemocrat Scott Colom becomes Mississippi's first Black senator since 187440%▲35 points since the previous source
- News FeedScott Colom wins historic Senate race in Mississippi40%
- Deutsche WelleDemocrat Colom wins Mississippi Senate seat40%
- Deutsche WelleMississippi Senate race: Democrat Scott Colom defeats Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith40%
- NPR PoliticsDemocrat Scott Colom wins the closest Senate race in the country40%
Show 25 later sources
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesDemocrat Scott Colom wins historic Senate race in Mississippi40%
- South China Morning PostUS midterms: Democrat Colom defeats Hyde-Smith in Mississippi to win historic Senate seat7%▼32 points since the previous source
- News FeedCorrection: Scott Colom1%▼6 points since the previous source
- Roll CallScott Colom elected Mississippi’s first Black senator since Reconstruction1%
- FortuneMississippi elects first Democratic senator in 44 years as Dems finally find a winning strategy: Spend nothing and let the other candidate talk beef1%
- politico.comScott Colom on Why Democrats Need to Rethink the South1%
- The HillDemocrats rally around Colom's historic Mississippi victory1%
- The Guardian USPromises and pride: Scott Colom rejoices with young and old on historic night in Mississippi1%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraMississippi elects first Black Senator since 18741%
- NPR PoliticsDemocrat Scott Colom wins Mississippi Senate race1%
- NPR PoliticsRep. Bennie Thompson discusses the U.S. Senate race Democrat win in Mississippi1%
- NPR PoliticsHow Scott Colom defied the odds to go from district attorney to Mississippi's Democratic US Senator1%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesMississippi elects Democrat Colom as state's first post-Civil War Black senator1%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesMississippi Democrat Scott Colom flips US Senate seat in stunning upset1%
- AxiosFrom Emmett Till to Robert Johnson, the Delta powered Scott Colom's historic Senate bid1%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesScott Colom makes history in Mississippi as first Black senator in more than 140 years1%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraWho is Scott Colom, Mississippi’s first Black senator in 150 years?1%
- Fox News PoliticsGOP governor and prominent Dems congratulate senator-elect on flipping Mississippi seat blue1%
- NPR WorldColom wins Mississippi Senate race. And, White House warns Dems over future probes1%
- The Guardian‘I had the courage to believe in Mississippi’ says Scott Colom after historic Senate win – US politics live1%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesMidterms: Democrat Colom claims historic win in Mississippi1%
- The Guardian USFirst Thing: Mississippi turns blue as Scott Colom unseats Republican Senate incumbent1%
- BBC NewsBefore Scott Colom, these two men were the last black US senators in Mississippi1%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesMississippi elects its first African American to US Senate since Reconstruction1%
- The Guardian USShare your reaction to Scott Colom’s Mississippi Senate win1%
- Current odds1%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Share your reaction to Scott Colom’s Mississippi Senate win The Guardian US ·
- First Thing: Mississippi turns blue as Scott Colom unseats Republican Senate incumbent The Guardian US ·
- ‘I had the courage to believe in Mississippi’ says Scott Colom after historic Senate win – US politics live The Guardian ·
- Colom wins Mississippi Senate race. And, White House warns Dems over future probes NPR World ·
- Who is Scott Colom, Mississippi’s first Black senator in 150 years? Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- From Emmett Till to Robert Johnson, the Delta powered Scott Colom's historic Senate bid Axios ·
Show 29 more sources
- How Scott Colom defied the odds to go from district attorney to Mississippi's Democratic US Senator NPR Politics ·
- Rep. Bennie Thompson discusses the U.S. Senate race Democrat win in Mississippi NPR Politics ·
- Democrat Scott Colom wins Mississippi Senate race NPR Politics ·
- Mississippi elects first Black Senator since 1874 Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Promises and pride: Scott Colom rejoices with young and old on historic night in Mississippi The Guardian US ·
- Democrats rally around Colom's historic Mississippi victory The Hill ·
- Scott Colom on Why Democrats Need to Rethink the South politico.com ·
- Correction: Scott Colom News Feed ·
- Democrat Scott Colom wins the closest Senate race in the country NPR Politics ·
- Scott Colom wins historic Senate race in Mississippi News Feed ·
- How Scott Colom won deep-red Mississippi with little help from Democrats The Guardian US ·
- Democrat Scott Colom wins Mississippi Senate race NPR Politics ·
- Mississippi elects Democrat Scott Colom to Senate in massive upset politico.com ·
- Mississippi elects its first African American to US Senate since Reconstruction France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Before Scott Colom, these two men were the last black US senators in Mississippi BBC News
- Midterms: Democrat Colom claims historic win in Mississippi France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- GOP governor and prominent Dems congratulate senator-elect on flipping Mississippi seat blue Fox News Politics
- Scott Colom makes history in Mississippi as first Black senator in more than 140 years France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Mississippi Democrat Scott Colom flips US Senate seat in stunning upset France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Mississippi elects Democrat Colom as state's first post-Civil War Black senator France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Mississippi elects first Democratic senator in 44 years as Dems finally find a winning strategy: Spend nothing and let the other candidate talk beef Fortune
- Scott Colom elected Mississippi’s first Black senator since Reconstruction Roll Call
- US midterms: Democrat Colom defeats Hyde-Smith in Mississippi to win historic Senate seat South China Morning Post
- Democrat Scott Colom wins historic Senate race in Mississippi France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Democrat Colom wins Mississippi Senate seat Deutsche Welle
- Mississippi Senate race: Democrat Scott Colom defeats Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith Deutsche Welle
- Democrat Scott Colom becomes Mississippi's first Black senator since 1874 Times of India
- Democrat Scott Colom wins Mississippi Senate race in surprise victory for party BBC News
- Mississippi, Once the Epicenter of Jim Crow, Elects Its First Black Senator Since Reconstruction Mother Jones
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Colom, 1+ pts · Mississippi Senate margin of victory 1% −4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Democratic · Mississippi Governor winner? (2027) 33% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Scott Colom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Scott Colom
- Cindy Hyde-Smith
- Mississippi