Black Congressional Leaders Endorse James Talarico in Texas Senate Race
Prominent Black congressional leaders have thrown their support behind Democratic candidate James Talarico for the U.S. Senate seat in Texas.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 20 Sept, 17:18 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Sept, 23:57 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 3% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 18 Sept 2026. Washington Post published first, on 18 September at 21:30 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 2%, with $7k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if James Talarico wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, as confirmed by official party sources. It resolves to No in all other cases, including if he loses the nomination or declines it after winning. Readers often mistake the linked Senate endorsement for a relevant event, but only the final presidential nomination matters.
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — the market puts it at 1%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if James Talarico wins the 2028 US Presidential Election, and No otherwise. It relies on the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC calling the race for the same candidate; if they do not agree by January 20, 2029, it resolves based on who is inaugurated. Readers often mistake the linked Texas Senate endorsement as relevant to this presidential outcome.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Polymarket Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 2%
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- Polymarket Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 1%
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In this story
- James Talarico