Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Implied probability 2%−1
24-hour volume$260k
Total volume$8.5M
Liquidity$608k
Resolves8 Nov 2028
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if James Talarico wins the 2028 US Presidential Election, and No otherwise. It relies on the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC calling the race for the same candidate; if they do not agree by January 20, 2029, it resolves based on who is inaugurated. Readers often mistake the linked Texas Senate endorsement as relevant to this presidential outcome.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 99%