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Bears QB Caleb Williams Refuses to Hide Caddix Logo on Cleats Hot: Odds moved 47 points in 24 hours

The Chicago Bears quarterback will not cover the custom cleat logo per NFL rules, citing personal principle.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 1 Nov 2026 · updated 34m ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Caleb Williams
0%50%100%23%31 Oct, 12:24 UTCnowwww.espn.com: Bears QB Williams won't 'spat' custom cleats out of principle, source says · 1 Nov, 12:50 UTCSI Feed: Ben Johnson Suggests Caleb Williams Lost Cleat Dispute After Second Fine · 1 Nov, 14:00 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now23%
1 Nov, 13:09 UTC23%
31 Oct, 12:24 UTC85%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 1 Nov 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 1 November at 12:50 UTC; SI Feed followed 1h 10m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 1 November at 14:00 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Caleb Williams — the market puts it at 23%, with $23 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 2 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Caleb Williams throws at least 25 passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. It resolves to No if he falls short of that total in that specific timeframe. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it applies to the current season rather than the specified 2026-27 schedule.
  • Caleb Williams — the market puts it at 65%, with $2 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 2 Feb 2027. Caleb Williams must throw for at least 3,000 yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for the outcome to be Yes. The count includes only official passing yards from regular-season games and excludes playoffs or preseason. Readers often mistake the deadline as the end of the calendar year rather than the conclusion of the 2026-27 regular season.
  • Caleb Williams — the market puts it at 75%, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 2 Feb 2027. The outcome is Yes if Caleb Williams throws for at least 3,500 yards in the 2026–27 NFL regular season. The outcome is No if he falls short of that total. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it ends after the playoffs rather than concluding with the regular season.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Bears QB Williams won't 'spat' custom cleats out of principle, source says www.espn.com ·
  2. Ben Johnson Suggests Caleb Williams Lost Cleat Dispute After Second Fine SI Feed

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Caleb Williams 23% $23 24hends 2 Feb 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Caleb Williams 65% −10 $2 24hends 2 Feb 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Caleb Williams 75% +47 $1 24hends 2 Feb 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Caleb Williams
  • Bears
  • NFL
  • Caddix
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