Caleb Williams
Implied probability 23%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves2 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 23% |
| 27 Sept, 17:45 UTC | 23% |
| 27 Sept, 12:39 UTC | 39% |
| 24 Sept, 04:01 UTC | 59% |
| 24 Sept, 03:52 UTC | 95% |
| 23 Sept, 10:42 UTC | 89% |
| 22 Sept, 10:28 UTC | 44% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
Caleb Williams must throw for at least 3,000 yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for the outcome to be Yes. The count includes only official passing yards from regular-season games and excludes playoffs or preseason. Readers often mistake the deadline as the end of the calendar year rather than the conclusion of the 2026-27 regular season.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 23%
- No 77%