Caleb Williams
Why it moved: −62 points at 13:09 UTC, after www.espn.com: Bears QB Williams won't 'spat' custom cleats out of principle, source says — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 23% |
| 1 Nov, 13:09 UTC | 23% |
| 31 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 85% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Caleb Williams throws at least 25 passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. It resolves to No if he falls short of that total in that specific timeframe. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it applies to the current season rather than the specified 2026-27 schedule.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 23%
- No 77%