Apple Releases Trailer for Siân Heder’s Judy Heumann Biopic 'Being Heumann'
Apple Original Films has released the first extended trailer for Being Heumann, a biopic directed by Siân Heder and starring Ruth Madeley as disability rights activist Judy Heumann.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 45% |
| 11 Oct, 16:01 UTC | 45% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 12 Oct 2026. IndieWire published first, on 12 October at 16:00 UTC; Deadline followed 20 min later. The most recent article, from Deadline, appeared on 12 October at 16:20 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: IndieWire, Deadline.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Being Heumann — the market puts it at 45%, with $205 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film "Being Heumann" receives a nomination for Achievement in Casting at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the release of the trailer or the film itself as sufficient for a Yes outcome, but only an official Oscar nomination counts.
- Being Heumann — the market puts it at 17%, with $6 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The film must receive a nomination for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards for the outcome to be Yes. If it does not get this specific nomination, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake general critical acclaim or other award nominations for the required Academy Award nomination.
- Being Heumann — the market puts it at 1%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film *Being Heumann* wins the Best Picture award at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the release of the trailer for a win or confuse this specific award with other nominations.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Being Heumann 45%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Being Heumann 17% +7
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Being Heumann 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Apple Original Films
- Siân Heder
- Judy Heumann
- Ruth Madeley