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Being Heumann

Implied probability 17%+7
24-hour volume$6
Total volume$15k
Liquidity$15k
Resolves31 Dec 2027

Why it moved: +7 points at 16:32 UTC, after Deadline: ‘Being Heumann’ Trailer: First Extended Look At Siân Heder’s ‘CODA’ Follow-Up — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Being Heumann
0%50%100%17%11 Oct, 16:05 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now17%
12 Oct, 16:32 UTC17%
11 Oct, 16:05 UTC10%

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What counts

The film must receive a nomination for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards for the outcome to be Yes. If it does not get this specific nomination, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake general critical acclaim or other award nominations for the required Academy Award nomination.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 17%
  • No 83%

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