Being Heumann
Implied probability 45%
24-hour volume$205
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 45% |
| 11 Oct, 16:01 UTC | 45% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the film "Being Heumann" receives a nomination for Achievement in Casting at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the release of the trailer or the film itself as sufficient for a Yes outcome, but only an official Oscar nomination counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 45%
- No 55%