Anthropic Launches Cheapest Claude Model, Haiku 5.5
The new model costs $0.10 per million input tokens and targets high-volume tasks like customer support.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 21% |
| 8 Oct, 03:01 UTC | 21% |
| 8 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 20% |
| 8 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 13% |
| 7 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 12% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 7 Oct 2026. marktechpost.com published first, on 7 October at 20:38 UTC; decrypt.co followed 8 min later. The most recent article, from decrypt.co, appeared on 7 October at 20:46 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: marktechpost.com, decrypt.co.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? — the market puts it at 21%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jul 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a new Claude Haiku model version 4.6 or higher appears on the Arena.AI leaderboard with a score of at least 1460. The final score is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the model first shows up on that specific leaderboard page. Readers often mistake the launch date for the resolution deadline, but the actual check happens one full day later.
- Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 9, 2026? — resolved “No” on 8 Oct 2026.
- Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 31, 2026? — resolved “Yes” on 8 Oct 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? 21% +5
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 9, 2026? No 1h ago
The market favoured No at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 31, 2026? Yes 1h ago
The market favoured Yes at 92% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Anthropic
- Claude Haiku 5.5
- Opus 5.5